
In this research, an analysis of the electricity market in Ecuador is carried out, a portfolio of projects by source is presented, which are structured in maps with a view to an energy transition according to the official dat. . Electric energy is vital for the economic development of countries and the improvement of. . Ecuador, if It is located in South America, has an approximate area of 256,370 km2 and a population of 17,888,474 people according to [15]. It is in position 67 of the population catalo. . 3.1. Residential sector demand projectionThe historical evolution of energy consumption in the residential sector during the period 2009–2020, and its projection until 2027, are ill. . At the beginning of the pre-industrial era, GHG emissions had a value of 298 parts per million (ppm), later increasing to 398 ppm and 407.8 ppm in 2014 and 2018, respectively [26]. . The regulation called Organic Law of the Public Service of Electric Energy, (LOSPEE, 2015) promulgated on January 16, 2015, determines the management of energy sources a. [pdf]
The future of the Ecuadorian electricity sector relies on thesuccessful application of the new Organic Law of Public Service of Electricity, the limitations of state enterprises for managing and operating the electricity system, and on external funding for new energy projects. To Carmen Gallar Sánchez for English proofreading and editing.
In this research, an analysis of the electricity market in Ecuador is carried out, a portfolio of projects by source is presented, which are structured in maps with a view to an energy transition according to the official data provided.
The Ecuadorian electricity sector is considered strategic due to its direct influence with the development productive of the country. In Ecuador for the year 2020, the generation capacity registered in the national territory was 8712.29 MW of NP (nominal power) and 8095.25 MW of PE (Effective power). The generation sources are presented in Table 1.
Under thenecessity of changing the energy matrix, the Ecuadorian State is committed to substantially reducing the use of fossil fuels for electricity generation and, instead, using its enormous hydropower potential and non-conventional renewable energies (NCRE).
The belief that promoted this new Plan was that the market, through its own forces, principles and dynamism, would encourage new companies to invest in electricity generation. However, the results were not satisfactory in Ecuador due to bothinsufficient interest of new companies and lack of fresh capital ( CONELEC, 2007a ).
Ecuador provides business opportunities for electric generation given the current electricity crisis and rising demand. Additionally, the country plans to reach self-sufficiency through clean production and potentially export energy to neighboring countries.

In this research, an analysis of the electricity market in Ecuador is carried out, a portfolio of projects by source is presented, which are structured in maps with a view to an energy transition according to the official dat. . Electric energy is vital for the economic development of countries and the improvement of. . Ecuador, if It is located in South America, has an approximate area of 256,370 km2 and a population of 17,888,474 people according to [15]. It is in position 67 of the population catalo. . 3.1. Residential sector demand projectionThe historical evolution of energy consumption in the residential sector during the period 2009–2020, and its projection until 2027, are ill. . At the beginning of the pre-industrial era, GHG emissions had a value of 298 parts per million (ppm), later increasing to 398 ppm and 407.8 ppm in 2014 and 2018, respectively [26]. . The regulation called Organic Law of the Public Service of Electric Energy, (LOSPEE, 2015) promulgated on January 16, 2015, determines the management of energy sources a. [pdf]
Ecuador’s power space has long been dominated by hydropower and oil-based generation. According to IRENA’s latest data (for 2017), almost 80% of the country’s energy supply was from oil and about 16% from renewables, with almost all of this from hydro supplemented with a small contribution from bioenergy.
Based on what has been described, it is identified that there is a high potential for electricity generation in Ecuador, especially the types of projects and specific places to start them up by the central state and radicalize the energy transition.
Ecuador’s energy outlook has undergone a drastic change in recent times. The country is fast moving from conventional sources of energy to more clean, renewable-based energy. There is a shift from a heavy reliance on fossil fuels to nearly complete self-sufficiency through renewable energies, particularly hydroelectric power.
In 2017, the total energy demand in Ecuador was 105 MBOE 1, and the total primary production in the same year was 222 MBOE . Of the total primary demand, 87% was for oil, 5% was for natural gas, and 8% was for RE (hydropower, firewood, cane products, WE, and PV). Dependence on fossil fuels has been maintained for over 40 years .
In this research, an analysis of the electricity market in Ecuador is carried out, a portfolio of projects by source is presented, which are structured in maps with a view to an energy transition according to the official data provided.
Thus, the Agency of Regulation and Control of Energy and Nonrenewable Natural Resources is working together with the Ministry to ensure a modernization capable of handling the new challenges oriented to achieve a comprehensive upgrade of the entire Ecuadorian energy sector.

The 2023-2024 Ecuador electricity crisis was caused by a severe that depleted water levels at plants and a lack of capacity buildup. experienced for up to 14 hours per day in the fall crisis (started on 23 September 2024 ) of 2024. Researches describe fall 2023 (27 October–18 December 2023) and spring 2024 (16–30 April 2024) crises as separate events. The had announced on 10 December, 2024. [pdf]
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No new electric capacity had been added to the Ecuador power grid since Coca Codo Sinclair station started operation in 2016, while the demand by 2024 had increased by 24%, or about 400 megawatt (MW). The fossil fuel plants were neglected with just 880MW operational out of 2 gigawatts (GW) installed capacity.
Electricity demand grows by 200 MW every year, meaning Ecuador should add 250 MW or 300 MW of new power generation each year. However, Ecuador has added minimal additional generation in the last three years.
This becomes an important strategic component within the Ecuadorian electricity production system. However, analyzed source by source, the greatest contribution is hydroelectric with 5064.16 MW of effective power of the total of 5254.95 MW, which implies 96.36% of the total renewable energy.
As quick fixes, he suggested improving relationship with Colombia, so that Ecuador can import electricity from there (and from Venezuela through Colombia). On 24 September 2024, three power stations known as Paute Integral (Paute Dam, Mazar Dam, and Sopladora) ceased operations since the water levels were approaching critical marks.
4.2.3. Wind energy According to the wind atlas of Ecuador [36, 39], in the useable areas, the average annual wind speeds exceed 7 m/s at 3000 m above sea level, indicating a feasible potential of 891 MW in the short term, which would be added to the 21.15 MW of power in service (16.5 MW on the mainland, and 4.65 MW on the insular region).
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